XRP Price Prediction: Bearish Futures Data Casts Doubt on XRP’s Recovery

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XRP trades at $1.37, and our price prediction indicates a scenario that bulls may not welcome. The token has shed more than 2% this week, sliding from a three-month high near $1.69 into a zone where derivatives traders are quietly betting against it. A detail often omitted from headlines is the funding rate flip that has just turned this into a short-favored market.

CryptoQuant’s latest market summary flags overheating and sell-side dominance in XRP’s futures book, with retail flow contributing to the imbalance. The long-to-short ratio dropped to 0.83 on Tuesday, its lowest reading in a month, with shorts now outnumbering longs.

XRP Price Prediction: Bearish Futures Data Casts Doubt on XRP's Recovery0

The funding rate turned negative on Wednesday and sat at -0.0012%, confirming that short holders are getting paid by longs, a classic bearish signal. For context on how divergent whale and retail positioning have become, see this recent breakdown of conflicting XRP signals.

Zooming out, the setup mirrors broader altcoin fatigue: momentum cooling after a sharp run, open interest contracting, and traders de-risking ahead of macro catalysts. The technical picture below suggests XRP’s recovery attempt is running into real resistance—not just from chart lines.

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XRP Price Prediction: Hold $1.35 Support This Week, Or Face Deeper Pullback

XRP’s pullback to $1.37 has it hovering just above a critical support band. The token still sits above its 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day EMAs, which are clustered between $1.24 and $1.35. This structure remains technically constructive as long as it holds.

The RSI in the mid-50s shows momentum has faded without collapsing, while the MACD line sitting below zero signals waning upside thrust.

XRP Price Prediction: Bearish Futures Data Casts Doubt on XRP's Recovery1Xrp (XRP)24h7d30d1yAll time

Three scenarios worth tracking:

  • Bull case: A reclaim above $1.40–$1.43 resistance could open a path toward $1.54, then the $1.68–$1.72 band that gates a run to $2.00+.
  • Base case: Consolidation between $1.35 and $1.40 persists while funding stays negative and open interest keeps unwinding.
  • Bear case: A break below $1.35 exposes $1.31–$1.32, with $1.27 as deeper backup support.

Regulatory catalysts remain the wildcard here, as the CLARITY Act’s potential to trigger a technical breakout is one to watch. Whether $1.35 holds this week likely determines which of these three paths plays out.

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Bitcoin Hyper Targets Early Mover Upside as XRP Tests Key Levels

Negative funding, a sub-1 long-short ratio, and cooling RSI. This is not a setup that rewards patience right now. Traders holding XRP through this chop are paying a real opportunity cost, and unless spot demand steps in to absorb the sell-side pressure, the $1.35 floor could get tested harder before it gets stronger.

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