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Ripple has returned to the headlines after releasing 1 billion XRP from escrow via four rapid transactions valued at $1.49 billion, coinciding with XRP testing the $1.50 price level. This release represents a substantial gross supply event.
The transactions, identified in primary evidence as occurring on October 1, consisted of 400 million, 300 million, 200 million, and 100 million XRP. For traders monitoring the XRP price, the immediate technical tension is evident: the token is pressing against resistance near $1.50, while the net supply impact remains unconfirmed.
RIPPLE UNLOCKS 1 BILLION XRP
Ripple has now unlocked a total of 1B ripple:native (~$1.49B) from escrow across four transactions:
· 400M ripple:native
· 300M ripple:native
· 200M ripple:native
· 100M ripple:native
All four unlocks were executed within minutes. pic.twitter.com/HJ9yHAPJhb— Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens) October 1, 2026
The release aligns with Ripple’s monthly escrow cycle, which allows up to 1 billion XRP to become available each month. Ripple’s official explanation of the XRP escrow system describes the program as a mechanism to make supply more predictable, with unused XRP placed into new escrow contracts.
The scheduled nature of a release can influence liquidity expectations without necessarily predetermining its market effect.
What Gross Unlock Does Not Show
Ripple’s 2017 explanation states that the company placed 55 billion XRP, or 55% of the total possible supply, into escrow, with up to 1 billion scheduled for release each month. This framework limits the amount that can be released under the schedule.
However, this structure leaves several steps between an unlock and actual market selling pressure. Tokens can be unlocked and remain under Ripple’s control, be allocated for operational or other uses, or be returned to escrow.
Historical reporting cited in supplementary research indicates substantial re-escrowing in previous monthly cycles. The distinction between gross unlocks and net tokens deployed is central to the Ripple escrow debate. The next relevant evidence would be on-ledger movements showing how much is re-escrowed or otherwise transferred.
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This makes the reported figure a measure of XRP made available, rather than a verified measure of new market supply. While XRP supply conditions can inform the broader supply-and-demand picture, they do not resolve the disposition of this specific tranche.
XRP Tests $1.50 as Four-Hour Momentum Stays Weak After Unlock News
XRP is currently in a bearish four-hour structure, with the 50-period EMA near $1.50 capping the price. The MACD showed a death cross, while the RSI at 44.56 remained neutral rather than deeply oversold. This combination points to weakening momentum.
The Bollinger Bands indicate near-term resistance around $1.52 and support near $1.47. The analysis also identified a broader support area around $1.47–$1.50, with the 200-period EMA near $1.41 and deeper support spanning roughly $1.41–$1.45. These levels frame the current XRP support and resistance structure: price is testing the upper boundary of a nearby support-resistance zone while facing the 50-period average.
A hold in the $1.47–$1.50 area would leave the immediate setup intact and avoid confirming a move toward deeper support. If XRP remains capped near $1.50 and loses the $1.47 level, the $1.41–$1.45 region becomes the next area of interest. Conversely, a move above approximately $1.52 would challenge the immediate bearish reading.
The next critical signal is not the gross unlock itself, but the net amount Ripple keeps available after the release. Until the subsequent treatment of the tokens is confirmed, the event establishes a scheduled supply change, not a billion-XRP sell order.
In the wider crypto market context, XRP’s ability to hold support while the $1.50 EMA caps price is the clearer near-term test. The outlook around XRP’s $1.50 price level remains conditional on both that chart structure and evidence of net deployment.
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