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The Cryptocurrency Market Expands Amid Zero Likelihood of Interest Rate Cuts: What Lies Ahead? | 2026/03/13 16:19:18
The conflict between the United States and Israel in the Middle East continues, and fresh data from the U.S. did not turn out to be catastrophically bad. With no new shocking news, crypto investors breathed a sigh of relief, and digital assets saw a slight increase in value.
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Bitcoin
From March 6 to March 13, 2026, the price of Bitcoin rose by 4.67%. The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization continues to trade in the $70,000–$72,000 range. While the first two trading sessions of the week ended with a decline in BTC, the last five showed growth.
Source: tradingview.com
The past week was marked by a significant volume of U.S. economic data releases. First, February inflation data was published. Year-over-year growth stood at 2.4%, fully matching the consensus forecast. This indicator remains at its lowest levels since May of last year. Core inflation, excluding food and energy prices, came in at 2.5%, also aligning with the consensus forecast. Later, data on initial jobless claims for the first week of March was released. The number stood at 213,000, slightly below the expected 215,000. As a result, information on prices and the labor market proved neutral. This did not increase the probability of a key rate cut at the upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve meeting scheduled for March 18. According to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), the probability that the rate will remain in the 3.5%–3.75% range is 99.8%.
Source: cmegroup.com
Analysts at the CryptoQuant platform are also not experiencing euphoria regarding Bitcoin’s growth last week. Experts point to the “Supply in Loss” metric, which reflects the percentage of BTC holders who are at a loss, meaning they bought coins at a price higher than the market price. By mid-March, this indicator fluctuated in the 40–45% range. Historically, this indicates the possibility of a strong correction. At the same time, the bottom usually forms when the share of holders in loss exceeds 50%. In other words, according to CryptoQuant representatives, a price decline could still occur.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs have shown fund inflows for the third consecutive time. This time, over four trading sessions, investors added $586.99 million to cryptocurrency exchange-traded funds. The majority of this amount, $456.47 million, went to BlackRock’s fund, iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT).
Source: sosovalue.com
From a technical analysis perspective, Bitcoin’s trend remains downward. This is confirmed by the fact that the price is below the 50-day moving average (marked in blue). However, the Money Flow Index (MFI) is sending bullish signals (buy). First, this indicator rose above the 50 value. Second, if we analyze the situation from March 4 to March 13, it sent a signal of bullish divergence—during this period, the price showed a slight decline, while the indicator rose (marked with yellow diagonal lines in the image below). The nearest support and resistance levels on the daily chart are $59,930 and $72,174, respectively.
Source: tradingview.com
The Fear and Greed Index decreased by three points compared to last week. Its current value is 15. This indicates that extreme fear still predominates in crypto investors’ sentiments.
Ethereum
Ethereum showed more significant growth compared to Bitcoin from March 6 to March 13, increasing by 6.7%. This allowed ETH to rise above $2,100 again. The weekly movement of the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization closely repeated the path of BTC: the first two trading sessions ended with a decline, followed by five sessions of growth.
Source: tradingview.com
Analysts at the Santiment platform reported that Ethereum is outpacing Bitcoin and USDT in the battle for audience. As evidence, experts cite the metric of wallets with a non-zero balance. There are slightly less than 183 million such wallets in Ethereum. The Bitcoin metric stands at 58.51 million (less than three times smaller), and for the main stablecoin Tether, it is 12.96 million (less than fourteen times smaller). ETH surpassed BTC in the number of non-zero wallets for the first time in 2019. Over seven years, the gap has only increased.
At the same time, analysts from another platform, CryptoQuant, raise the question of the “adoption paradox.” Experts noticed that despite the growth of metrics such as active addresses and internal smart contract requests, the price of ETH is falling. The convergence observed between network metrics and price, which was recorded in the early stages of Ethereum’s development, has ceased.
Similar to spot Bitcoin ETFs, analogous funds for Ethereum recorded a third consecutive inflow of funds. Now it amounts to $90.65 million. The most popular among investors was the Fidelity fund, Fidelity Ethereum Fund (FETH), which was replenished by $98.03 million.
Source: sosovalue.com
From a technical analysis perspective, Ethereum’s trend remains downward. This is confirmed by the fact that the price is below the 50-day moving average (marked in blue). However, it is worth noting that the distance is now minimal, indicating an increase in buyer strength. The rise in the RSI indicator, which also exceeded the value of 50, also speaks in favor of the bulls. Support and resistance levels on the daily chart remain unchanged: $1,741.8 and $2,149.9, respectively.
Source: tradingview.com
Avalanche
The Avalanche cryptocurrency showed growth of 9.67% from March 6 to March 13. The AVAX token updated its monthly maximum, reaching $9.95 in trading on Tuesday, March 10. As with Bitcoin and Ethereum, the week for Avalanche began with two negative sessions, followed by five positive ones.
Source: tradingview.com
One of the key news items for AVAX was the launch by investment company Grayscale of a new staking trust—Grayscale Avalanche Staking Trust. The placement of its shares (units) took place on the Nasdaq exchange under the ticker GAVA. The fund is primarily aimed at corporate investors who wish to invest in digital assets but prefer more transparent markets.
The only spot ETF for AVAX, VanEck Avalanche ETF (VAVX), showed zero dynamics for the second consecutive time. This is the third such case since the fund’s listing in late January 2026.
Source: sosovalue.com
The technology company Ava Labs, behind Avalanche, officially joined the recently launched cryptocurrency program of the Mastercard system. Together, the two organizations will work on creating products that adapt the specifics of digital assets to modern payment cards. In addition to Ava Labs, partners in the program include more than 85 companies, including Circle, Polygon, and Ripple.
From a technical analysis perspective, Avalanche’s trend has changed from downward to upward. This is confirmed by indicators. The price exceeded the 50-day moving average (marked in blue), and the VI+ line (orange) of the Vortex indicator is located above VI- (burgundy). For further growth, Avalanche needs to hold above the resistance level of $9.82, around which the cryptocurrency is currently trading. The support level is $7.55.
Source: tradingview.com
Conclusion
The largest cryptocurrencies demonstrated positive dynamics from March 6 to March 13. Avalanche increased in price more than Bitcoin and Ethereum. The increase in value was due to the absence of new negative news and strong network metrics for altcoins.
This material and the information contained herein do not constitute individual or other investment advice. The editorial opinion may not coincide with the opinions of analytical portals and experts.
