Bitcoin Price Forecast: 12-Year Trend Disrupted – Is “Quantum Computing” Undermining Bitcoin?

The price of Bitcoin has recently accomplished something it hasn’t achieved in 12 years: it has broken its long-standing trend against gold.

This trend persisted through various market conditions, including bull runs, crashes, regulatory bans, and ETF developments. Now, it has been disrupted. Some analysts are suggesting that this is not merely random fluctuations; they are indicating a much larger issue: quantum computing.

On-chain analyst Willy Woo contends that this breakdown corresponds with an increasing awareness of quantum risks. The concern is straightforward yet significant.

Bitcoin depends on ECDSA cryptography. In theory, a sufficiently powerful quantum computer utilizing the Shor algorithm could potentially extract private keys from public ones. While this is not a current threat, it could become feasible within the next 5 to 15 years.

Source: The 12-year trend line of Bitcoin priced in Gold has broken to the downside

Fund manager Justin Bons suggests that the market may be rationally beginning to factor in this risk ahead of time. Approximately 4 million older or lost BTC could be at risk in a quantum scenario. If those coins became accessible, it would create a supply shock that current valuation models do not adequately account for.

This narrative is beginning to influence price. It is not solely about macroeconomic factors or ETF inflows; it also involves a structural technological risk.

The price reflects this uncertainty. Bitcoin is currently hovering around $68,000 and is finding it difficult to gain momentum. Support near $66,500 is crucial. A failure to hold this level could lead to further declines, with some analysts monitoring the $55,000 area.

Developers are exploring quantum-resistant upgrades, but a definitive roadmap has yet to be established. Until the network adopts a standardized solution, this narrative imposes a ceiling on long-term valuation.

Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Price is Experiencing Doubts

A closer look at the chart reveals this hesitation.

Following a sharp decline within that descending channel, Bitcoin’s price stabilized around $60K–$64K and subsequently formed a higher low.

This is significant as it indicates that buyers are defending that red demand zone. Since then, the price has been moving sideways beneath the $70K–$71K supply zone. This area acts as a critical threshold. If surpassed, $80K could be reached quickly, with $90K and even $98K positioned above as potential targets.

Source: BTCUSD / TradingView

However, if the price drops below $64K, the structure could weaken rapidly. Below this level, $60K represents the last major support before conditions may become unfavorable.

Now, consider the quantum narrative. The break in the 12-year BTC/gold trend introduces a psychological barrier. This may explain why the price is not surging higher, even in the face of significant short positioning and extreme funding. The market is exercising caution. It is not in a state of panic, but it is careful.

If Bitcoin Encounters a Technological Barrier, Bitcoin Hyper Constructs a New Layer

Bitcoin continues to face substantial resistance. It requires strong conviction to advance, and such conviction is delicate when narratives shift to a cautious stance.

Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is not waiting for macroeconomic clarity or long-term discussions to reach a conclusion.

This Bitcoin-centric Layer-2 solution, built on Solana technology, offers speed, reduced fees, and genuine on-chain utility while maintaining Bitcoin’s core security. It retains brand strength while eliminating the constraints that hinder capital flow.

Moreover, momentum is already building. The Bitcoin Hyper presale has raised over $31 million to date, with $HYPER priced at $0.0136751 prior to the next increase. Staking rewards currently reach up to 37%.

Bitcoin Hyper is strategically positioned to seize momentum in the interim.

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