XRP Price Forecast: Potential Impact of SEC Deadlines from October 18-25 on Market Movement

XRP is currently priced at $3.17, reflecting a 4% increase over the past 24 hours, with a daily trading volume of $6 billion. As the third-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, it is demonstrating resilience as it nears a significant threshold. With the US SEC deadlines for spot XRP ETF applications set between October 18-25, the upcoming weeks may prove crucial for the token.

September 17 = Fed rate cut
October 18 – 25 = XRP Spot ETFs final decision dates
●Grayscale = 10/18
●21SHARES = 10/19
●Bitwise = 10/20
●Canary Capital = 10/24
●WisdomTree = 10/25
●Franklin Templeton = 10/25
●CoinShares = 10/25
November 4 – 5 = Ripple Swell Conference pic.twitter.com/BHOHH8o3aB

— Kenny Nguyen (@mrnguyen007) August 30, 2025

XRP Gains Ahead of SEC Deadlines

The SEC continues to postpone decisions on several spot XRP ETF applications, including the Franklin XRP ETF, which was submitted in March. While the final ruling on Franklin is anticipated for November 14, most other submissions are expected to fall within the October 18-25 timeframe.

Polymarket indicates a remarkable 93% likelihood of XRP ETF approval in 2025. pic.twitter.com/757q1SlL5p

— Vincent Van Code (@vincent_vancode) September 9, 2025

There are currently 15 XRP ETF applications under consideration. According to Polymarket, traders assign a 93% chance of approval before the end of the year.

This mirrors the lead-up to Ethereum ETF approvals, where delays did not dampen market sentiment. For XRP, approval would significantly enhance institutional adoption and potentially introduce new liquidity avenues.

The ongoing altcoin season is also influencing this environment. The Altcoin Season Index stands at 78, suggesting that capital is flowing into assets other than Bitcoin. This positions XRP favorably if positive developments arise in October.

Retail Demand and Futures Data Points Higher

In addition to ETFs, on-chain and derivatives data indicate rising demand. This week, Futures Open Interest (OI) for XRP averaged $8.51 billion, an increase from $7.37 billion the previous week. More traders are adopting long positions. Although OI remains below July’s $10.94 billion, the consistent upward trend reflects growing confidence.

Funding rates have also risen, reaching 0.0107% on Friday, indicating that traders are willing to pay a premium to maintain long positions. Collectively, these factors suggest the market is gearing up for significant movements.

Key points that bolster the bullish outlook include:

• OI increased to $8.51 billion from $7.37 billion last week.
• Funding rates at 0.0107%, indicating traders’ willingness to pay for long positions.
• Altcoin Season Index at 78 suggests a rotation into altcoins.

This indicates that traders are preparing for an October catalyst that could lead to higher prices.

XRP Price Prediction – Technical Outlook

From a technical perspective, XRP’s price prediction has turned optimistic following a breakout from a descending wedge. This bullish reversal pattern suggests that the period of consolidation has concluded.

The price is currently above the 50-day EMA at $3.01 and the 200-day EMA at $2.12, which provides robust long-term support.

XRP Price Chart – Source: TradingView

Fibonacci retracements indicate $2.99 as the recent support level; XRP is now testing resistance at $3.25. A breakthrough above this point could lead to $3.43 and subsequently $3.66, where sellers capped the rally in July. If momentum persists, medium-term targets could reach $5 as institutional investments return to XRP.

The RSI is at 63 and is not in overbought territory. Recent bullish engulfing candles suggest buying pressure and align with the higher lows established in July.

For traders, a strategic long entry above $3.26, targeting $3.43 and $3.66 with stops below $2.99, presents a favorable risk-reward scenario. Should ETF approvals occur between October 18 and 25, XRP may surpass $3.66 and initiate a larger rally, potentially reaching $5.

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