XRP Price Forecast: Diminishing Confidence as Large Holders Sell 250M XRP – Important Levels to Monitor

Tether may be maintaining its position near $1.00, but XRP is encountering a significantly more turbulent environment. Data from @ali_charts indicates that whales have sold off 190 million XRP in the last 48 hours, intensifying bearish sentiment and driving the token towards a crucial support area.

Currently, XRP is trading around $2.02, with increasing volatility, prompting the market to closely monitor the $1.81–$1.90 range, which has consistently served as a protective barrier throughout 2024.

Whale sell-offs often indicate changing expectations among major holders, influenced by macroeconomic factors or internal market weaknesses. In this instance, the sell-off aligns with a general liquidity slowdown across the altcoin sector. Nevertheless, despite the pressure, XRP’s structure is not fundamentally compromised, and the recent price movements suggest early signs of stabilization.

XRP Maintains Support as Buyers Re-Enter

XRP’s chart continues to adhere to a broad descending channel, characterized by lower highs since August and a trendline that has thwarted every recovery attempt. This downtrend remains unbroken, but the last few sessions reveal the first significant signs of exhaustion.

The token has displayed long lower wicks, tighter candle ranges, and a diminishing downside momentum, a combination that typically arises when sellers start to lose their grip.

The RSI, currently near 37, is rising from a deeply oversold position, forming the early signs of bullish divergence. While the price has reached a new low, momentum has not followed suit. Historically, XRP has responded strongly to similar scenarios, particularly when they coincide with high-volume capitulation events like the recent whale sell-off.

If the $1.81 level holds, XRP could start to establish higher lows, marking the initial step towards a trend reversal. Traders are targeting the $2.15–$2.20 range as the first upside checkpoint, with the broader trendline resistance positioned around $2.30. A daily close above this level would signify XRP’s first structural improvement in months and reopen the pathway towards $2.57 in Q1.

Key technical indicators supporting stabilization include:

• Long lower wicks and compressed candle bodies
• RSI flattening and early divergence
• Reclaiming the 20-EMA on lower timeframes

XRP/USD Price Outlook for Q1: Recovery Possible if Liquidity Improves

For those new to the market, the most straightforward entry strategy is to wait for a bullish reversal candle, such as a hammer, an engulfing pattern, or a long-wick doji to form within the $1.81–$1.90 range. A confirmed close above $2.06 would provide the earliest indication that the market is shifting towards recovery.

Ripple (XRP/USD) Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

Well-structured setups typically place stops below $1.81, with tiered upside targets at $2.30, $2.57, and $3.12 if momentum picks up.

If overall liquidity improves in December and whales resume accumulation, XRP could shift from defensive trading to a more constructive upward trend, creating new opportunities as the market approaches upcoming presale phases and early-2026 positioning.

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