XRP Price Forecast: $1.22B ETF Inflows Shift Market Sentiment Ahead of Potential Breakout

XRP exchange-traded funds have achieved a significant milestone, amassing $1.22 billion in total inflows since their inception in November 2025, as per recent information from SoSoValue. Even more noteworthy, XRP ETFs recorded an additional $4.93 million in daily inflows on January 9, maintaining a strong performance with only one day of negative prints since their launch.

US XRP Spot ETF – Source: Sosovalue

This resilience is particularly notable in a market where Bitcoin ETFs experienced $2.4 billion in outflows and Ethereum ETFs lost $898 million during the same timeframe. Currently, XRP ETFs manage $1.47 billion in net assets, which accounts for 1.16% of XRP’s market capitalization, with leadership from Canary, Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, and Grayscale.

Institutional investors seem to prefer Ripple’s compliance-focused strategy, especially as discussions in Washington revolve around the Clarity Act, a proposed law that could officially classify XRP as a non-security. Katherine Dowling, president of Bitcoin Standard Treasury, stated that XRP “stands to benefit the most” if the legislation is enacted — and this anticipation is already influencing capital flows.

Growing Doubts About Developer Activity, Yet Momentum Remains

Not all observers agree that the current upswing will be sustainable. Brian Huang, co-founder of Glider, contends that the activity of builders is more critical than ETF adoption, and in this regard, XRP falls short. He references the builder mindshare index from a16z, where XRP barely makes an impact.

“Builders develop the infrastructure and applications that enhance the ecosystem,” he told DL News. “In the absence of builders, expect limited growth.”

However, the market may have a different perspective. Ripple’s valuation has surged to $40 billion following a $500 million fundraising round involving Citadel Securities, Pantera, Fortress, and Galaxy Digital, along with new collaborations with Mastercard and Gemini, demonstrating robust investor interest. The long-established retail base of XRP, frequently referred to as the XRP Army, continues to absorb ETF demand and provide directional conviction.

ETF Landscape Narrows as U.S. Sponsors Become More Selective

An increasing number of issuers are refining their focus. WisdomTree retracted its U.S. XRP ETF application this month, reflecting CoinShares’ withdrawal from various crypto ETF applications related to XRP, Solana, and Litecoin. Nevertheless, established issuers continue to grow. Franklin Templeton reported $4.53 million in new XRP inflows on January 9, the highest among all ETF sponsors.

Key XRP ETF statistics (Jan. 9 – SoSoValue)

• Daily Net Inflow: $4.93M
• Cumulative Inflows: $1.22B
• Total Net Assets: $1.47B
• Largest Single Inflow: Franklin ($4.53M)
• Top issuer by NAV: Canary ($375M)

This trend suggests a maturing market where institutional capital is consolidating around established products rather than speculative newcomers.

XRP Price Prediction: Market Compression Indicates a Potential Breakout

XRP price predictions appear neutral as XRP trades around $2.08, stabilizing after a steep decline from the $2.27 level, where long upper wicks indicated strong selling pressure. The price has since settled within a narrow sideways band between $2.13 resistance and $2.04 support, forming a compression zone that typically precedes significant volatility.

The pullback has retraced into the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci range, a zone where trend-continuation buyers often re-enter. XRP is maintaining its position just above the 200-EMA, while the 50-EMA is flattening, creating a squeeze pattern. This EMA compression, combined with an RSI near 41, suggests the market is cooling but not capitulating.

XRP/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

From a technical standpoint, XRP is forming a descending wedge within a broader bullish continuation setup. A breakout scenario suggests a possible dip to $2.04 before the market shifts higher toward the $2.18 mid-Fib level. A confirmed close above $2.18 would open the path toward $2.27 and eventually $2.41, where the previous breakout candle originated.

A downside breach below $2.04 would expose $1.96, but the current structure favors accumulation over distribution.

XRP/USD Trade Setup:

A confirmed breakout above $2.18 presents a long opportunity targeting $2.27, followed by $2.41 as momentum builds. With ETF inflows accelerating and volatility compressing on the chart, any bullish breakout could coincide with renewed capital rotation into large-cap assets, a trend already evident in XRP’s ETF-focused investor base.

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