Well-Known Analyst Plan B Forecasts Bitcoin Value to Exceed $300,000 by 2025 – Here’s the Method

On April 17, crypto analyst “Plan B” made a prediction that the price of Bitcoin would exceed $300,000 by 2025, with an expectation of reaching $100,000 by December 2024.

Bitcoin Moonshot Prediction is Driven by the Upcoming Bitcoin Halving

Plan B disclosed their forecast on X, highlighting the favorable impact of Halvings on BTC’s price. They anticipate that the forthcoming Halving will follow the same trend.

IMO this bitcoin halving will NOT be different:
– All bitcoin price increase will again be around the halving
– Buying 6m before the halving and selling 18m after the halving (green line) will outperform buy&hold
– BTC > $100k in 2024
– BTC top > $300k in 2025 pic.twitter.com/lCZjnuoYMO

— PlanB (@100trillionUSD) April 17, 2024

Bitcoin halving takes place every four years, halving the rate at which new coins are generated.

Plan B’s forecast is grounded in the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model, which assesses Bitcoin’s scarcity by comparing the existing supply (stock) to the new supply entering the market (flow).

According to the S2F model, as the influx of new Bitcoins diminishes due to halving events, the scarcity of Bitcoin increases, which could lead to elevated prices.

The price of Bitcoin is anticipated to benefit from the heightened scarcity following the halving event and the increasing institutional interest in Bitcoin, including spot Bitcoin ETFs and Ordinals.

Additionally, Plan B provided insights regarding the timing of buying and selling Bitcoin around the halving event. This strategy is based on the premise that Bitcoin’s price generally rises in the lead-up to and following a Halving event due to the supply reduction.

BTC traders often take advantage of the expected price increase by acquiring Bitcoin just before the halving, while the suggestion to sell shortly after the halving, within a period of approximately “18 minutes,” is based on the belief that the BTC price spikes immediately after the halving event.

Plan B further clarified that this approach surpasses the traditional “buy and hold” strategy, which involves retaining Bitcoin for an extended duration regardless of short-term price changes.

Agree, bitcoin must take out gold because it will have 2x scarcity/S2F. My “BTC top > $300k” is the low end of the $250k-$1m range. Last cycle I took the high end and BTC decided to go low end, let’s see how this will work out.

— PlanB (@100trillionUSD) April 17, 2024

Meanwhile, Plan B conveyed their belief that Bitcoin will outperform gold, asserting that Bitcoin’s scarcity will be double that of gold after the halving, and the initial $300K price estimate is conservative within a projected range of $250,000 to $1 million.

Plan B Bitcoin Price Prediction Aligns With Industry Analysts

Plan B’s Bitcoin forecast is in agreement with other industry experts. Ark Invest’s Cathie Wood, Standard Chartered Bank, and New York best-selling author Robert Kiyosaki all express optimism regarding Bitcoin’s price movement after the halving.

During the Bitcoin Investor Day conference in New York on March 22, Cathie Wood predicted that BTC’s price could reach $2.3 million per coin.

At the same time, Standard Chartered Bank increased its year-end forecast to $150,000, anticipating a peak of $250,000 in 2025 before stabilizing around $200,000. Recall that Kiyosaki predicted Bitcoin’s price would rise to $100K by June 2024.

BITCOIN on fire. The biggest mistake you can make is to procrastinate. Important to start, even if only for $500. Next stop $300,000 per BC in 2024

— Robert Kiyosaki (@theRealKiyosaki) March 6, 2024

Notably, Glassnode projected that spot Bitcoin ETFs would serve as significant catalysts for driving BTC’s price in 2024, with an estimated $70 billion of new capital expected to flow into the market through these Bitcoin products.

The current price of Bitcoin is approximately $63,400, reflecting a 3.46% increase in the past 24 hours. As the Bitcoin halving approaches, Bitcoin enthusiasts and global communities are eagerly looking forward to a potential bullish trend.

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