Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoreNews is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoreNews on whether to sell, buy or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk.
CryptoreNews covers fintech, blockchain and Bitcoin bringing you the latest crypto news and analyses on the future of money.
VanEck CEO Jan Van Eck has made an optimistic forecast, indicating that Bitcoin’s increasing correlation with global M2 liquidity could drive its price to $180K prior to the conclusion of the bull market.
In the most recent VanEck Mid-October 2025 Bitcoin ChainCheck report, the asset management firm disclosed that Bitcoin’s value has historically aligned with the fluctuations of the global money supply.
Since 2014, Bitcoin has demonstrated approximately a 0.5 correlation (r² = 0.25) with the overall growth of global M2, suggesting that variations in fiat currency liquidity have accounted for a significant portion of its long-term gains.
“Although this correlation tends to diminish during brief disruptions, such as the COVID pandemic in 2020, the 2024 election, or the ‘Tariff Tantrum’ of 2025, overarching trends in monetary expansion persistently influence Bitcoin’s cycles,” VanEck stated.
Bitcoin 700x Gains Since 2013 Fueled By $100T Global Liquidity Surge
VanEck Investment Analyst Nathan Frankovitz noted that since 2013, global liquidity among the top five currencies has approximately doubled from $50 trillion to nearly $100 trillion, during which Bitcoin’s price has surged over 700 times.
Source: VanEck
Among the major currencies, the euro M2 money supply remains the most significant explanatory factor (r = 0.69, t = 10), reinforcing Bitcoin’s expanding role as a neutral reserve asset amid coordinated currency devaluation.
With Bitcoin representing roughly 2% of the global money supply, VanEck posits that holding less than 2% of Bitcoin or other digital assets implicitly indicates a short position in this asset class.
#Bitcoin has reached 2% of all global money.
It’s happeningpic.twitter.com/3W16YBST0B
— Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) August 22, 2025
pic.twitter.com/3W16YBST0BFor these reasons, VanEck has reiterated its $180,000 year-end Bitcoin price target despite recent market fluctuations. VanEck believes that the futures market significantly influences whether Bitcoin can achieve the ambitious $180K target.
Since October 2020, nearly 73% of Bitcoin’s price variability has been attributed to changes in futures open interest (t = 71).
As of early October 2025, futures leverage was near its 95th percentile, with cash collateral supporting Bitcoin futures at unprecedented levels (~$145B).
Open interest reached a peak of $52B on October 6th before declining to $39B on October 10th following an 8-hour, 20% BTC drawdown.
Source: VanEck
Related Posts
Moreover, leverage has never maintained levels above 30% for more than 75 days, indicating a cap on sustained risk appetite.
However, the composition of leverage has evolved, with increased involvement from institutions, miners, and ETF market makers shifting activities toward regulated platforms like CME.
Recent Volatility and the Gold-Bitcoin Relationship
Farzam Ehsani, Co-founder and CEO of VALR, informed Cryptonews that gold’s recent $2.5 trillion market cap adjustment signifies a natural cooling phase following an overheated rally, rather than a decline in investor confidence.
“The safe-haven discussion may no longer be binary. Gold is resting, not retreating; Bitcoin is attempting to catch up and not necessarily replace gold,” he remarked.
While Bitcoin’s upward potential isn’t guaranteed, favorable macroeconomic developments such as soft U.S. CPI readings or reduced trade tensions could lead to a capital shift toward BTC, potentially supporting a rally toward $130,000-$132,000 in Q1 2026.
“If the U.S. CPI report is soft and trade negotiations result in a détente, investors may transition from pure protection to growth participation. This transition would enhance Bitcoin’s relative attractiveness as it bridges both narratives,” Ehsani stated to Cryptonews.
Technical Analysis: Bitcoin Consolidates Before $120K Breakout
Bitcoin is consolidating within a range between $108,000 and $125,000, with the lower boundary serving as strong support.
The “Whale Buy Zone” around $108,600 indicates institutional accumulation, consistent with previous price reactions from this level.
As long as Bitcoin sustains support above $108,000, the chart structure favors a bullish continuation, with upside targets near $129,200 and potentially $141,000 if momentum increases.
A definitive break above $125,000 would confirm renewed bullish momentum.
Conversely, a significant drop below $108,000 could pave the way toward lower supports around $95,000.
Overall, the current formation suggests consolidation before a probable upward continuation toward $130,000+.
The post Bitcoin Set to Explode to $180K as Global Money Floods In: VanEck CEO appeared first on Cryptonews.
