Solana Price Forecast: SOL Rises 4.5% This Week – Are Market Participants Overlooking SEC Delays?

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Solana (SOL) has regained attention after a 4.5% increase this week, trading around $193.33. This surge occurs despite U.S. regulators postponing crucial decisions regarding Solana-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Recently, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) revealed it would extend the deadline for Bitwise and 21Shares’ Solana ETF applications to October 16, 2025, the final date before a decision on approval or rejection is made.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL Rises 4.5% This Week – Are Market Participants Overlooking SEC Delays?0 CMC News: $SOL ETF Approvals Delayed Until October by SEC.
Solana Price Forecast: SOL Rises 4.5% This Week – Are Market Participants Overlooking SEC Delays?1 https://t.co/e3mGzFLlTh pic.twitter.com/WyqZfj0RrU

— CoinMarketCap (@CoinMarketCap) August 16, 2025

The SEC indicated that additional time is required to investigate issues related to market integrity, investor protection, and the classification of Solana as either a security or a commodity.

This strategy resembles the handling of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, which also experienced several delays before eventual approval. However, concerns regarding Solana’s relative network maturity and distribution of control continue to be prominent.

Institutional Demand Signals Confidence

In spite of regulatory ambiguity, institutional interest in Solana is on the rise. The REX Shares Solana Staking ETF has already exceeded $150 million in assets under management, featuring a single-day inflow of $13 million and a trading volume of $66 million.

These figures highlight investors’ readiness to gain exposure to Solana, even through limited regulated offerings.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL Rises 4.5% This Week – Are Market Participants Overlooking SEC Delays?2JUST IN: The first Solana Price Forecast: SOL Rises 4.5% This Week – Are Market Participants Overlooking SEC Delays?3U.S. Solana staking ETF, $SSK, by @REXShares recorded $13M in inflows today, while also hitting a record $66M in trading volume. It was the highest volume day since launch, reflecting growing demand for the ETF. pic.twitter.com/8SWjTedIKj

— SolanaFloor (@SolanaFloor) August 15, 2025

Other significant players, such as Grayscale, Fidelity, ProShares, and Canary Funds, have submitted applications for Solana-related ETFs. In contrast, BlackRock has deliberately steered clear of this market, focusing solely on Bitcoin and Ethereum products. This distinction emphasizes Solana’s unique risk-reward profile among institutional investors.

For cryptocurrency investors, three main points stand out:

  • Institutional inflows remain robust despite regulatory delays.
  • REX Shares ETF activity indicates early confidence in Solana’s prospects.
  • Major firms are divided, with BlackRock remaining on the sidelines.

Solana (SOL/USD) Technical Outlook and Market Forecast

The outlook for Solana’s price appears positive as the token has bounced back from $190 and is currently maintaining a position above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at $188, preserving its bullish structure.

Price movements have adhered to an ascending trendline, indicating that higher lows are being established — a typical sign of sustained buying interest.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL Rises 4.5% This Week – Are Market Participants Overlooking SEC Delays?4

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 53, suggesting potential for further upward movement without entering overbought territory. The MACD histogram is near zero, with a possible bullish crossover in progress. Together, these leading indicators suggest that momentum is building ahead of a potential breakout.

The primary resistance level is at $198, which acts as the ceiling of an ascending triangle pattern. A candlestick close above this level would likely pave the way toward $205 and possibly $214, extending Solana’s bullish momentum.

If the price does not surpass $198, traders should keep an eye on the $188–$186 range as strong support, with a decline below $174 indicating trend weakness.

Looking Ahead: Is the Market Ignoring the SEC?

Market behavior indicates that investors perceive the SEC delay as a procedural obstacle rather than a significant concern. Bloomberg analysts currently estimate the likelihood of approval for Solana ETFs at 95%, with prediction markets being even more optimistic. Should approval occur in October, Solana could swiftly join Bitcoin and Ethereum as one of the few U.S. spot ETFs, potentially attracting billions in inflows within the first year.

In summary, the market appears to be overlooking delays and gearing up for a favorable outcome. With technical strength and increasing institutional interest, Solana may be positioning itself for its next significant breakout — one that could solidify its status among the leading digital assets.

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Solana Price Forecast: SOL Rises 4.5% This Week – Are Market Participants Overlooking SEC Delays?5

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