Solana Price Forecast: SOL Rises 12% Overnight – However, This Single Indicator May Complicate Matters

The Solana price ($SOL) has achieved an impressive 12% increase from its lowest point, yet one significant indicator poses a risk to this momentum.

The rapid rebound has propelled SOL away from precarious levels. However, experienced analysts remain pessimistic, casting doubt on optimistic Solana price forecasts.

There is one ominous signal that could potentially reverse the gains.

Here’s what every SOL holder should be aware of at this moment.

This One Signal Could Ruin Everything

Long-term holders are retreating from Solana at a particularly inopportune time. HODLer Net Position Change data indicates that accumulation is significantly slowing following last week’s sharp decline.

These steadfast investors typically provide essential price support during challenging times. However, their confidence seems to be wavering, which raises a substantial concern for sustainability.

Source: Glassnode

The Money Flow Index is nearing oversold territory below 20.0, which generally indicates that seller fatigue is beginning to occur.

Solana has only reached oversold conditions three times in the last two and a half years. Each instance resulted in significant price stabilization or even reversals that surprised bearish traders.

Solana Price Prediction: Will SOL Break Under $70 Support?

Solana remains trapped in a descending channel and has now fallen below that structure into the $85 to $90 range, which is currently serving as short-term support.

From a trend perspective, the situation has not changed significantly. This remains a bearish configuration with lower highs and lower lows firmly established.

Source: SOLUSD / Tradingview

If this support level fails, the next significant downside target is approximately $70, which represents the last robust demand zone.

The initial resistance to monitor is around $100, but the crucial level to consider is $144. A daily close above $144 would indicate that the downtrend is likely at an end and a genuine bullish shift is beginning.

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