Solana Price Forecast: Is $126 the Quiet Before SOL’s Next Rise?

Solana is currently trading around $126, experiencing a slight decline over the last 24 hours while maintaining a price level that traders are monitoring closely. Although the short-term price movements reflect general market apprehension, the underlying activity of Solana reveals a contrasting narrative. Increased network usage, rising institutional interest, and forthcoming protocol enhancements are all on the rise, creating an expanding divide between price and fundamentals as the market approaches deeper into 2026.

This divergence is influencing Solana’s short-term outlook as well as its long-term investment narrative.

Solana Stabilizes Around $126 Following January Decline

Solana concluded the session at approximately $126.72, with daily trading volume around $2.74 billion and a market cap just below $72 billion, positioning the token at #7 globally. The recent decline follows a rejection near $147.50, with the price currently consolidating within a defined support range between $124 and $127.

From a technical perspective, SOL remains beneath its 50-EMA near $134 and 200-EMA around $136, indicating that short-term momentum has diminished. However, the behavior of candlesticks has evolved.

Recent trading sessions have exhibited smaller bodies and diminished downside continuation, implying that selling pressure is decreasing rather than intensifying. Provided that $125 remains intact, the movement appears corrective rather than structural.

On-Chain Activity Remains Strong Despite Price Weakness

Despite the price decline, Solana’s network activity is continuing to grow at unprecedented rates.

Notable on-chain metrics include:

• DEX volume reached $107 billion, outpacing Ethereum, Base, and BSC combined in recent times
• Stablecoin transfer volume increased to $312 billion, underscoring real payment and settlement applications
• Active addresses surged to 27.1 million, an increase of over 50% week-on-week
• Staking participation reached all-time highs, indicating long-term confidence rather than speculative fluctuations

These statistics indicate genuine demand rather than transient trading flows, reinforcing Solana’s position as a high-throughput settlement layer.

Real-World Asset Tokenization Gains Traction on Solana

Institutional adoption is subtly transforming Solana’s market position. The enterprise blockchain company R3 is developing Solana-native infrastructure aimed at private credit and trade finance, while Coinbase has completed full integration of the Solana chain, enhancing liquidity access across major regions.

Simultaneously, Solana has surpassed $1 billion in tokenized real-world assets, buoyed by flows associated with BlackRock’s BUIDL initiative and increasing USDC velocity. This shift is repositioning Solana from a speculative trading chain into an institutional-grade platform for tokenized finance.

Solana (SOL/USD) Technical Outlook: $125 Support Tested as $136 Comes Into View

In terms of price, Solana’s price prediction appears bearish as SOL is testing a rising trendline that originates from December lows. The RSI remains subdued near 38–40, indicating caution but not exhaustion. A clear break below $124 would expose $120.90, while a recovery above $131.50 would indicate renewed upward movement towards $136 and $141.60.

Solana Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

Looking ahead, the forthcoming Alpenglow upgrade, which aims for faster finality and increased block capacity, strengthens Solana’s long-term thesis. If fundamentals continue to outpace price, the current range may represent a positioning phase rather than a peak.

Solana Trade idea: Buy near $124–$125, target $136, stop below $120.90.

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