Solana Price Forecast: How Decelerating Network Expansion May Restrict SOL’s Short-Term Upside Potential

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Solana (SOL) is presently valued at $229.84, reflecting a 1.54% increase over the last 24 hours; however, network statistics suggest a deceleration that may dampen short-term bullish sentiment. As reported by Blockworks Research, Solana’s Network Real Economic Value (REV)—which monitors transaction fees and out-of-protocol tips—has significantly decreased since its peaks in December 2024.

At that time, weekly REV briefly exceeded $200 million, fueled by a surge in decentralized exchange activity and trading in memecoins.

Solana Price Forecast: How Decelerating Network Expansion May Restrict SOL's Short-Term Upside Potential0Solana: Network REV (Real Economic Value) – Source: Blockworks

However, since mid-2025, Solana’s network activity has settled into a range closer to $40–$60 million.

This stabilization indicates a decline in user demand or transactional throughput, a factor that often restricts the sustainability of price increases when combined with technical resistance.

Solana (SOL/USD) Technical Outlook: Channel Support in Focus

From a technical perspective, the Solana price forecast appears optimistic, as SOL is adhering to a rising channel pattern, fluctuating between support at $218 and resistance at $253.

The 50-day moving average ($218) and 100-day moving average ($217) are acting as dynamic support, bolstering the bullish structure despite the decline in on-chain metrics.

Solana Price Forecast: How Decelerating Network Expansion May Restrict SOL's Short-Term Upside Potential1Solana Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

Candlestick patterns illustrate this equilibrium—after encountering resistance at $237, SOL is consolidating while forming higher lows, a trend indicative of a market gaining strength prior to its next movement. The RSI near 54 indicates a neutral condition, allowing for either continuation or correction based on whether buyers maintain the channel base.

If SOL manages to close above $237, the subsequent targets are positioned at $244.85 and $253.44, consistent with Fibonacci extension levels. On the other hand, failing to uphold $218 could lead SOL to a retracement toward $214 or $204, both of which have previously served as accumulation zones.

Solana Long-Term Outlook: Fundamentals Still Intact

Although short-term activity has diminished, Solana’s overall ecosystem remains fundamentally robust. The blockchain continues to draw developer engagement, with increasing institutional interest in SOL-based tokenized assets and integrations.

Nonetheless, analysts caution that without a recovery in transaction-driven revenues, momentum may lag compared to its late-2024 peaks.

In the short term, Solana’s trajectory hinges on its ability to maintain both its technical framework and network utilization. If demand picks up alongside a confirmed breakout above $237, SOL could resume its upward path toward $253, reaffirming its status as one of the leading altcoins as Q4 2025 approaches.

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