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The likelihood of Bitcoin appreciating by December stands at 88%, according to economist and investment advisor Timothy Peterson from Cane Island. He supported his claim by noting that over the past two years, half of the months exhibited positive trends in the value of the leading cryptocurrency.
Peterson identified potential turning points in the trend by analyzing the number of positive months within any 24-month timeframe. Ultimately, his calculations led him to conclude that a sustained increase in Bitcoin’s value will commence on December 22.
Peterson’s forecast contrasts with the statistics. According to CoinGlass, in 2025, Bitcoin saw price increases in January, April, May, June, July, and September, while it declined in the other six months. Historically, November has been the most successful month for Bitcoin since 2013, with an average return of 41.13% during this period.
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index, which reflects investor sentiment, registered a score of 9 on Sunday, February 22, indicating “extreme fear.” Traders on the Polymarket prediction platform estimate the chance of December being the best month for Bitcoin this year at 17%, slightly lower than November’s 18%.
Sentiment analysis platform Santiment has observed a decline in Bitcoin price predictions on social media. Experts from the platform believe this suggests a return to “neutral territory,” which they consider a positive sign.
“Calls for Bitcoin to rise to $150,000–200,000, as well as to $50,000–100,000, are diminishing,” the experts stated.
Additionally, Santiment highlights that overall Bitcoin activity is declining, with transaction volumes, the number of active addresses, and network growth steadily decreasing.
Bitcoin-linked exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have experienced a net outflow of funds for five consecutive weeks. During this period, investors withdrew approximately $3.8 billion. In the last week alone, the net outflow from Bitcoin ETFs amounted to around $315.9 million.
