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CryptoQuant Analyst Suggests Timeline for Conclusion of Bitcoin Bear Market, 2026/02/18 11:21:17
Axel Adler Jr, an expert from the on-chain platform CryptoQuant, indicated that the bearish cycle of Bitcoin, which commenced in October, is expected to conclude only in 2027.
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The expert referenced the technical indicator Entity-Adjusted Liveliness, which reflects the activity level of wallets and addresses in terms of moving and utilizing the cryptocurrency. This indicator peaked at 0.02676 in December and has since begun to decline.
“Historically, such reversals initiate a phase of asset accumulation that lasts between 1.1 to 2.5 years. The first period was typical of the 2020 bear market, while the second pertains to the years 2022–2024. Both began, similar to the current situation, with a reversal and a sustained drop in Entity-Adjusted Liveliness,” the analyst elaborated.
Should the historical pattern repeat, the ongoing phase of BTC accumulation could extend at least until the end of 2026. The on-chain specialist noted that a more realistic timeframe might extend to mid-2027.
Concurrently, the demand from exchange-traded fund (ETF) issuers and large corporations may shorten the duration of the downward trend and limit the extent of the Bitcoin market correction, the CryptoQuant expert suggested.
Previously, analysts from the digital asset management firm WisdomTree stated that the cyclical model of Bitcoin’s rise and fall is weakening, and in the coming years, corporate investors will play a crucial role in the cryptocurrency market.
