BTC Rises Towards $31K, Yet Is a Correction on the Horizon? (Bitcoin Price Analysis)

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BTC Rises Towards $31K, Yet Is a Correction on the Horizon? (Bitcoin Price Analysis)

Following a prolonged phase of consolidation, Bitcoin’s price has effectively breached the significant $30K resistance threshold. Nonetheless, it is crucial to proceed with caution in the market, especially in the near term.

Technical Analysis

By: Edris

The Daily Chart

On the daily chart, Bitcoin’s price has shown a swift upward trajectory over the past week, bouncing strongly from the $25K support level. The resistance at $30K has been surpassed, and the price is striving to hold above this level.

However, the RSI indicator currently indicates an overbought situation, implying a potential correction. Should this happen, the 50-day moving average may serve as a support level around $27,500, followed by the 200-day moving average in the vicinity of the $25K area.

Source: TradingView

The 4-Hour Chart

The 4-hour chart presents a comparable scenario to the daily chart, showcasing a robust upward movement and the breaking of resistance levels. The recent surge began after the breakout from the descending channel, driving the price to new highs above $30K.

Nonetheless, caution is advised due to a distinct bearish divergence noted on the RSI indicator. This suggests the likelihood of consolidation or a correction in the near future, urging investors to stay alert.

Source: TradingView

Bitcoin Long-term holder SOPR

Following Bitcoin’s recent surge, numerous holders who had been facing losses for several months are now in a position to sell and secure profits.

The Long-term holder SOPR metric, illustrated in the chart alongside a 100-day moving average, represents the ratio of profits or losses realized by long-term holders. Values exceeding 1 indicate profit-taking, while values below 1 reflect losses.

The chart clearly indicates that long-term holders, who had been incurring losses for nearly a year, have started to sell at a profit due to the recent price increase. While this development is not inherently detrimental, it could elevate the supply of Bitcoin, and without adequate demand, it may lead to a potential price decline.

Source: TradingView

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Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.