Bitcoin Price Prediction: CryptoQuant Suggests Strategy Pause Bitcoin Accumulation

Bitcoin is trading around $62,000 with relatively little movement, yet this stability does not obscure a deeper structural shift playing out in the market. CryptoQuant has issued a pointed recommendation regarding Strategy, the corporate Bitcoin buyer led by Michael Saylor. According to CryptoQuant analysts, the company should halt its accumulation of BTC and focus on rebuilding cash reserves before its preferred stock situation escalates into a full credibility crisis.

Julio Moreno, CryptoQuant’s head of research, outlined these pressure points in a report released on Tuesday. Strategy’s preferred stock, STRC, hit a record 17.5% discount to its par value last week, closing at $82.50 against a $100 par value. Meanwhile, cash reserves have dropped by 38% since January 2026. This decline is partly attributed to Strategy retiring $1.5 billion in convertible notes, which shrank its dividend buffer at a critical moment.

Furthermore, Strategy’s dividend obligations have ballooned from an annualized $300 million at the start of the year to $1.2 billion today, representing a nearly fourfold increase in under six months. Consequently, STRC’s dividend coverage has collapsed from over seven years to just 14 months.

CryptoQuant Suggests Strategy Pause Bitcoin Accumulation and Prioritize Rebuilding Cash Reserves
CryptoQuant Head of Research Julio Moreno said that as Strategy continues issuing STRC preferred stock to fund Bitcoin purchases, its annualized dividend obligations have risen from… pic.twitter.com/zYzl6W9VJ5

— Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) June 24, 2026

Selling Bitcoin to close this funding gap is not straightforward for Strategy. The company currently carries an aggregate unrealized BTC loss of approximately $10.6 billion, with every coin purchased in 2024, 2025, and 2026 trading underwater at current prices.

Strategy’s financial bind is significant for the broader market because it removes one of the most consistent marginal buyers from the demand side. This occurs at a time when on-chain data already indicates significant weakness across the board. Can Bitcoin survive this pressure?

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Recover to $81,000 or Drop to $55,000?

Bitcoin’s current setup appears bearish across most key metrics. CryptoQuant’s cycle framework classifies the current market phase as bearish, with 30-day apparent demand down by approximately 63,000 BTC, a level consistent with distribution. The Coinbase premium remains negative, signaling that U.S. spot buyers are not stepping in to absorb sell-side pressure. Bitcoin has already fallen 50% from its October all-time high of near $126,080.

On the downside, CryptoQuant’s base case targets $55,000 as the structural bear-market bottom, which is 20% below current levels. Standard Chartered has flagged a similar downside risk toward $50,000 before any sustained push toward $100,000. The $55,000–$56,000 zone represents a confluence of prior accumulation levels and the point where realized-loss exhaustion has historically resolved previous cycles.

Bitcoin (BTC) 24h 7d 30d 1y All time

The bull case is conditional rather than dismissed. CryptoQuant’s scenario analysis allows for a relief rally into the $71,500–$81,200 band if geopolitical and macro tensions ease materially. The “Trader Realized Price” near $81,200 capped the last bear-market rally in January 2026 and would likely act as resistance again. Current long positioning data suggests the market is not pricing a clean breakout, but rather uncertainty.

The most likely scenario involves consolidation between $60,000 and $66,000 in the near term, with the $55,000 target remaining in play if demand metrics deteriorate further. Invalidation of the bearish thesis would require a sustained close above $81,200 on significant volume.

Bitcoin Hyper Eyes Early-Stage Upside as BTC Buyers Wait on the Sidelines

With Bitcoin’s price prediction trending downward and large institutional buyers potentially sidelined, spot demand is contracting. This dynamic caps the near-term upside on BTC itself, at least until macro conditions shift. Consequently, some traders are looking earlier in the risk curve, specifically at infrastructure projects building on top of Bitcoin rather than trading it outright.

Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is positioning itself directly in this gap. It is a Bitcoin Layer 2 protocol that integrates the Solana Virtual Machine (SVM), making it, by design, the first BTC L2 capable of delivering SVM-powered smart contracts while settling on Bitcoin’s security layer.

The project addresses Bitcoin’s core bottlenecks: slow finality, high fees, and the absence of programmable execution. The presale has raised $33 million at a current token price of $0.0136821, with staking available during the presale phase.

Early participants also gain access to a Decentralized Canonical Bridge for BTC transfers, providing the infrastructure layer that makes the SVM integration usable in practice, not just theoretically.

Research Bitcoin Hyper here.

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