Bitcoin Price Outlook: US Inflation Figures Published — Will BTC Surge Accelerate?

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During the US trading session, Bitcoin () continued its downward trend, sharply falling below $59,000 and reaching an intra-day low of $58,930. This drop is primarily linked to the unexpectedly high US CPI figures for September, which indicated a 2.4% rise in inflation, exceeding the anticipated 2.3% by the market.

Nonetheless, the stronger-than-expected inflation data has raised worries about a potentially hawkish approach from the Federal Reserve, which could postpone interest rate reductions.

This uncertainty has negatively impacted market sentiment, resulting in a wider selloff across the cryptocurrency market, further driving down Bitcoin prices.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, Polkadot volatile as US CPI print comes in hotter than expected https://t.co/0ci7xYIixX – The US Consumer Price Index inflation data released today showed that inflation didn’t slow down as much as expected in September, which apparently disappointed Bitcoin… pic.twitter.com/bfnoxSArM0

— Orson Merrick (@Orson_Merrick) October 10, 2024

Another element affecting Bitcoin (BTC) is the recent increase in regulatory actions aimed at the cryptocurrency industry. The SEC’s lawsuit, along with the Department of Justice’s allegations against several market makers for market manipulation, has heightened investor apprehension.

Moreover, SEC Chair Gary Gensler’s comments, labeling the crypto sector as filled with “fraudsters,” have further exacerbated the negative sentiment surrounding BTC.

Impact of Rising Inflation on Bitcoin’s Price and Market Sentiment

On the US front, the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data indicated that inflation increased to 2.4% in September, surpassing market predictions of 2.3%.

The CPI reported a monthly inflation rate of 0.2%, consistent with previous months, but the annual rate is the lowest since February 2021.

Meanwhile, the Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, also rose to 3.3% year-over-year.

Bitcoin Price Outlook: US Inflation Figures Published — Will BTC Surge Accelerate?0 US CPI data came in hotter than expected at 2.4%, sparking concerns of a potential #Bitcoin dip below $60K. Bitcoin Price Outlook: US Inflation Figures Published — Will BTC Surge Accelerate?1 $BTC is trading in a falling wedge pattern. @DEXWireNews #Crypto #BTC #Inflation
Bitcoin Price Outlook: US Inflation Figures Published — Will BTC Surge Accelerate?2 Learn More About $BTC Bitcoin Price Outlook: US Inflation Figures Published — Will BTC Surge Accelerate?3Download our Mobile App » https://t.co/zrHOEYAVmX pic.twitter.com/Sb51iGzhlU

— DEXWireNews – Stocks & Crypto Bitcoin Price Outlook: US Inflation Figures Published — Will BTC Surge Accelerate?4 (@DEXWireTeam) October 10, 2024

Following the CPI announcement, Bitcoin’s price dropped by over 2%, briefly falling below $59,000 within the last 24 hours. This decline contributed to a wider selloff in the cryptocurrency market.

In light of these developments, the market is currently forecasting an 84% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve at their upcoming November meeting, a shift from earlier expectations of a more substantial cut.

Additionally, the US 10-year bond yield rose to 4.073%, while the US Dollar Index decreased by 0.10% to $102.595, reflecting the prevailing financial conditions.

Consequently, the unexpected inflation increase could lead to heightened market volatility for Bitcoin, potentially driving its price lower. If the Federal Reserve adopts a more hawkish approach, Bitcoin may find it challenging to regain momentum, risking further declines below $60,000.

Regulatory Pressure Weighs on Bitcoin Price and Market Sentiment

Recent regulatory actions in the U.S. have exerted additional downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price. The Department of Justice has charged four market makers and over a dozen individuals with market manipulation, while SEC Chair Gary Gensler has criticized the crypto sector, labeling it as fraught with fraud.

He pointed out that many prominent figures are either facing legal challenges or are already incarcerated.

Bitcoin Tumbles Below $59K Amid Inflation Worry, Regulatory Onslaught on Crypto pic.twitter.com/0cKjc2wMlA

— Airdrop Hunter (@freedom198735) October 10, 2024

As a result, market sentiment regarding Bitcoin has turned pessimistic. Analysts, such as Lekker’s Thompson, suggest that regulatory scrutiny may keep Bitcoin’s price stagnant until after the U.S. elections in November.

The heightened legal pressure and critical remarks from regulators could hinder any significant price recovery in the short term.

Key Takeaways:

  • Legal Pressure: Recent charges and regulatory statements have negatively impacted market sentiment.
  • Range-Bound Trading: Analysts anticipate Bitcoin will remain range-bound until regulatory clarity improves.
  • Short-Term Outlook: Bitcoin may experience ongoing selling pressure, limiting its potential for short-term gains.

Bitcoin Bounces 0.82% but Faces Strong Resistance at $61,000

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is trading at approximately $60,150, reflecting a 0.82% increase on the day after reaching a low of $59,530. The price remains below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $62,080, indicating significant resistance.

The recent rebound suggests possible short-term bullish momentum, but it is constrained by the $60,740 resistance level. A decisive break above this could aim for the next resistance at $61,240 and $61,985.

Bitcoin Price Outlook: US Inflation Figures Published — Will BTC Surge Accelerate?5 Chart – Source: Tradingview

However, immediate support is identified at $59,540, followed by deeper levels at $58,880 and $58,350. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has recovered to 40, indicating neutral momentum but remains below the crucial 50 threshold. A break below $59,540 may trigger additional selling, potentially driving prices back to $58,880.

For the time being, Bitcoin’s short-term outlook is cautiously bearish below $61,240, but a move above this level could shift sentiment to bullish.

Key Insights:

  • Support Break: Immediate support at $59,540 is vital; a break below could lead to further declines.
  • Resistance Levels: A move above $60,740 may pave the way for additional gains.
  • RSI Indicator: Neutral momentum, but potential for upside if RSI surpasses 50.

You might also like Bitcoin Price Prediction 2024 – 2034

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