Análisis del precio de Bitcoin: ChatGPT predice un superciclo de BTC – ¿Está en juego los $200K?

Once again, Bitcoin investors are engaged in discussions about the market’s future, but this time the focus isn’t on the traditional four-year cycle. Instead, ChatGPT has suggested that BTC might be poised to enter a “supercycle,” which could alter price dynamics and potentially elevate BTC towards $200,000.

A Departure From Conventional Four-Year Cycles

For over ten years, Bitcoin’s market behavior has appeared predictable: a surge leading into Q4, followed by a peak, and then a challenging multi-year decline. However, ChatGPT posits that 2025 might deviate from this trend. It proposes that BTC could be breaking away from its historical cyclical pattern.

This perspective indicates that Bitcoin may not undergo the extreme price spikes and severe corrections witnessed previously. Rather, it might adopt the traits of more established assets, such as stocks or gold—gracefully increasing over time with milder pullbacks.

Three factors bolster this theory:

• Demand for Spot ETFs: Spot Bitcoin ETFs are experiencing consistent inflows, outpacing miner supply and creating a prolonged supply scarcity.
• Expansion of Global Liquidity: Increasing capital movements and diminished faith in fiat currencies could maintain multi-year demand.
• Bitcoin as a Monetary Hedge: Being increasingly recognized as a strategic hedge, Bitcoin is attracting institutional investors and sovereign entities, rendering cycles less significant.

As Bitcoin’s halving events contribute less to each cycle due to decreasing block rewards, external demand factors are emerging as the primary market influence.

Data Supporting a $200,000 Projection

ChatGPT estimates that Bitcoin ETFs could draw in $400 billion in inflows by 2026. This would only necessitate a mere 0.4% of global investable assets shifting to BTC. Thus, the target is set at $149,000, with the potential to reach $200,000 if feedback loops are activated.

These loops could include:

• Derivative market amplifications of price fluctuations
• FOMO-driven retail investments
• Accumulation by nation-states and sovereign wealth funds

This could lay the groundwork for a supercycle. Beyond mere price movements, ChatGPT emphasizes that broader adoption will spur ecosystem growth, benefiting Bitcoin-related companies.

Bitcoin Technical Outlook: BTC Maintains Key Support

Currently, BTC is trading around $118,000 while staying above the crucial support level, keeping the Bitcoin price outlook positive. The 4-hour chart indicates BTC is adhering to the trendline established in late June, suggesting that bulls remain in command despite the current consolidation.

Bitcoin Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

The 50-SMA is positioned at $118,848 with a bullish flag forming above resistance at $123,236. A close above this threshold could lead to targets of $126,242 and the psychological level of $130,000.

Bitcoin holds $117.9K support, forming a bullish flag beneath $123.2K. A breakout could propel targets at $126.2K and $130K. RSI at 42.5 indicates potential for upward movement, while $113K serves as a critical invalidation point. #Bitcoin #BTC pic.twitter.com/N8v6XN6Rz7

— Arslan Ali (@forex_arslan) August 16, 2025

Momentum indicators remain bullish. The RSI sits at 42.5 with room for upward movement, and MACD lines are crossing. Technically, crypto traders are anticipating a bullish engulfing candle around $117,335-$117,700 to validate demand.

Trade setup:

• Entry: $117,700–$118,000
• Stop-loss: Below $113,650
• Targets: $123,236, $126,242, $130,000

A drop below $113,000 would negate the bullish outlook and hand control back to sellers.

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