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Bitcoin’s resilience indicates the fundamental stability of cryptocurrency despite ongoing war-related uncertainties.
Your day-ahead look for March 25, 2026
Bitcoin remained stable even after Iran dismissed U.S. ceasefire proposals. (Michael Schofield/Unsplash)
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By Omkar Godbole (All times ET unless specified otherwise)
Bitcoin and the wider cryptocurrency market are maintaining their positions alongside U.S. stock futures, as oil prices, bond yields, and the Dollar Index show a decline amid indications that ceasefire discussions between the U.S. and Iran could commence as early as Thursday.
However, nothing is yet finalized, and it might be premature to anticipate a complete return to stability, according to some analysts.
"We do not claim to be geopolitical experts, but we believed Iran would possess maximum leverage from elevated energy prices going into any discussions," analysts at ING remarked. "Therefore, it is likely too soon to foresee any significant decrease in energy prices or a notably weaker dollar this week."
Skepticism persists on the Iranian front as well. As reported by Axios, officials have communicated to Pakistan, Egypt, and Turkey that recent U.S. military actions have intensified doubts that Trump’s peace proposal may simply be a façade.
Macro conditions are also becoming less favorable. The U.S. money market curve has now eliminated any expectations for Fed easing this year, representing a significant change from prior forecasts of at least two 25-basis-point reductions, which were anticipated as a key bullish driver for BTC and other risk assets.
On the cryptocurrency side, the flow of news has not been beneficial either. Circle Internet’s (CRCL) shares fell on Tuesday after a leaked draft of the Clarity Act indicated restrictions on earning interest on inactive stablecoin balances. Meanwhile, Arkham Intelligence disclosed that Bhutan might be liquidating approximately $30 million worth of BTC, while the government still retains 4,453 coins valued at around $315.9 million.
In spite of these challenges, bitcoin remains above $70,000, with declines proving to be brief. A market that resists falling in response to negative news often indicates underlying strength, potentially paving the way for a more significant upward movement. The dynamics surrounding bitcoin’s upcoming options expiry on Friday suggest a possibility of a rebound to $75,000. Remain vigilant!
Read more: For insights into today’s activity in altcoins and derivatives, see Crypto Markets Today
What to Watch
For a more detailed list of events this week, refer to CoinDesk’s "Crypto Week Ahead".
Related Posts
- Crypto
- March 25, 4:10 p.m.: Fed Gov. Stephen Miran discussion "Conversation with Federal Reserve Governor Stephen I. Miran" at the Digital Asset Summit 2026, New York.
- Macro
- March 25, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. Import Prices MoM for February est. 0.2% (Prev. 0.2%); Export Prices MoM (Prev. 0.6%)
- Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
- Nothing scheduled.
Token Events
For a more detailed list of events this week, refer to CoinDesk’s "Crypto Week Ahead".
- Governance votes & calls
- Gitcoin DAO is voting on a request from the treasury to finance DAO operations for 2026, covering governance, builder engagement, and ecosystem growth. Voting ends March 25.
- Decentraland is voting to include a new location in Decentraland’s Points of Interest list. Voting ends March 25.
- Unlocks
- March 25: Humanity (H) to unlock 4.19% of its circulating supply valued at $10.1 million.
- Token Launches
- No significant launches.
Conferences
For a more detailed list of events this week, refer to CoinDesk’s "Crypto Week Ahead".
- Day 3 of 7: Polish Blockchain Week (Warsaw)
- Day 2 of 3: Digital Asset Summit 2026 (New York City)
- March 25: Crypto Assets Conference (Frankfurt, Germany)
Market Movements
- BTC is up 2.21% from 4 p.m. ET Tuesday at $71,509.33 (24hrs: +0.68%)
- ETH is up 2.99% at $2,184.78 (24hrs: +1.43%)
- CoinDesk 20 is up 2.73% at 2,065.01 (24hrs: +0.93%)
- Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is down 7 bps at 2.74%
- BTC funding rate is at 0.0005% (0.4960% annualized) on Binance
- DXY is down 0.15% at 99.29
- Gold futures are up 3.13% at $4,536.90
- Silver futures are up 4.38% at $72.31
- Nikkei 225 closed up 2.87% at 53,749.62
- Hang Seng closed up 1.09% at 25,335.95
- FTSE 100 is up 0.85% at 10,049.44
- Euro Stoxx 50 is up 1.39% at 5,658.96
- DJIA closed on Tuesday down 0.18% at 46,124.06
- S&P 500 closed down 0.37% at 6,556.37
- Nasdaq Composite closed down 0.84% at 21,761.89
- S&P/TSX Composite closed up 0.18% at 31,941.59
- S&P Latin America 40 closed up 0.43% at 3,480.97
- U.S. 10-Year Treasury rate is up 6 bps at 4.39%
- E-mini S&P 500 futures are up 0.68% at 6,651.25
- E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are up 0.86% at 24,422.75
- E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up 0.67% at 46,727.00
Bitcoin Stats
- BTC Dominance: 58.97% (0.16%)
- Ether-bitcoin ratio: 0.03055 (-0.04%)
- Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 977 EH/s
- Hashprice (spot): $33.72
- Total fees: 2.5 BTC / $175,777
- CME Futures Open Interest: 116,345 BTC
- BTC priced in gold: 15.7 oz.
- BTC vs gold market cap: 4.77%
