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An analyst from the on-chain platform CryptoQuant, known by the pseudonym Darkfost, indicated that the next peak in Bitcoin’s price may not occur until February 2028.
He pointed out that the ongoing correction in the market for the leading cryptocurrency has lasted approximately 159 days, starting from October 2025, when Bitcoin’s price surpassed $126,000.
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According to Darkfost’s observations, the intervals between historical all-time highs (ATH) are gradually decreasing. The gaps between price peaks were as follows:
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2017 — 1180 days;
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2021 — 1093 days;
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2025 — 849 days.
“If this trend continues, the next market peak could occur in early February 2028,” the expert suggested.
He also highlighted a consistent pattern: the time intervals between updates of historical highs are progressively shortening.
The analyst believes that halving is not the primary catalyst for initiating a new price surge. Typically, bear markets conclude well in advance of this event.
Nonetheless, halving remains a significant factor in market dynamics. The reduction in block rewards slows down the issuance rate of Bitcoin, which alleviates inflationary pressure and limits selling volumes from miners.
Previously, Brett Munster, an analyst at Blockforce Capital, stated that Bitcoin market sell-offs may be nearing their final phase, and the current market structure resembles previous cycles prior to recovery.
