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Analysts at Charles Schwab assessed Bitcoin’s volatility over a five-year period., 2026/03/27 11:05:26
The current volatility of Bitcoin is nearly half of what it was five years ago. In 2025, the historical volatility (HV) was approximately 42%, compared to 80% in 2021, according to analysts at Charles Schwab.
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During the same timeframe, intraday volatility also decreased. The average true range (ATR) nearly halved, dropping from 6.8% to 3.4%, indicating a more stable price movement.
Analysts estimate that Bitcoin’s historical volatility is now comparable to, and in some instances lower than, that of certain tech stocks. Specifically, its volatility was found to be lower than that of Nvidia (50%) and Tesla (63%), and approached the level of silver futures (38%).
A similar trend is observed when analyzing drawdowns. Over the past three years, Bitcoin’s maximum decline was around 50%. In comparison, Tesla’s stock fell by up to 54%, while Nvidia’s dropped by 37% during the same period.
“When looking at the five-year perspective, the scenario is different. All three assets experienced significant declines during the bear market of 2022, with Bitcoin showing the steepest drop of approximately 77% from peak to trough. In contrast, TSLA shares fell by 74%, and NVDA by 66%,” noted Charles Schwab.
Analysts also pointed out that at the end of 2025 and the beginning of 2026, Bitcoin’s price temporarily decreased by nearly 50%. However, despite the overall decline in volatility, the asset retains the capacity for sharp price movements. Bitcoin exhibits greater resilience compared to other cryptocurrencies. Notably, Ethereum remains more volatile and is subject to deeper drawdowns.
Charles Schwab attributes the reduction in volatility to the gradual integration of Bitcoin into the traditional financial system and the increasing interest from institutional investors.
Previously, analyst Adam Livingston assessed the likelihood of a repeat of the 2022 scenario for Bitcoin as low, citing a more mature market structure.
