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The Dual Impact Factor: Analyzing Bitcoin Halving and the Prospective Spot ETFs


- Bitcoin halving preserves the scarcity and value of BTC over time.
- Approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF could significantly enhance the demand for the cryptocurrency.
Concerning Bitcoin, the upcoming significant event is the ‘halving.’ Bitcoin halving denotes the reduction in rewards for Bitcoin miners, which takes place every 210,000 blocks mined, or roughly every four years.
This occurrence is vital for sustaining the cryptocurrency’s scarcity and value over time. Additionally, a new factor in the market could serve as a major catalyst for Bitcoin: the possible approval of a spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Fund (ETF).
A Brief Overview of Bitcoin Halving
In 2009, when Bitcoin’s blockchain was launched, miners were rewarded with 50 bitcoins for each block they mined. Following the first Bitcoin halving in November 2012, this reward decreased to 25, and so forth. As of May 11, 2020, miners earn 6.25 bitcoins for each block, marking the third halving event.
This halving process guarantees that Bitcoin’s supply will reach its cap of 21 million by approximately 2140. Importantly, this limited supply protects against inflation, a distinctive feature that differentiates Bitcoin from conventional currencies.
The Rise of Bitcoin Spot ETFs
In addition to the halving, the growing number of applications for Bitcoin spot ETFs represents another significant element that could affect Bitcoin’s market dynamics. Ark Invest, Wisdom Trade, Invesco, Bitwise, Valkyrie, and others have already submitted applications for spot Bitcoin ETFs. The potential approval of these applications, especially from BlackRock, the largest asset manager globally, could be transformative.
Furthermore, the approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF would create opportunities for a wide array of investors. It would reduce entry barriers, encouraging both institutional and retail participation in the Bitcoin market. As a result, this could elevate demand for Bitcoin and possibly lead to considerable price increases.
With the anticipated halving expected between March and April, it is noteworthy that the deadline for the SEC to approve BlackRock’s application is at the end of February. Therefore, the convergence of these two events could significantly influence Bitcoin’s value and market dynamics.
However, the SEC has yet to approve a spot Bitcoin ETF, having rejected all 33 previous applications. Despite this, optimism remains high, particularly given BlackRock’s strong history of ETF approvals.
Navigating the Crypto Landscape
With these pivotal events approaching, it is an essential time for investors and stakeholders in the Bitcoin ecosystem. Whether it is the halving or the potential approval of a Bitcoin spot ETF, both occurrences could serve as major catalysts for Bitcoin’s next growth phase.
Despite its promise, the Bitcoin environment is fraught with uncertainty and unforeseen developments. It is vital for investors to remain informed, develop strategies based on current and anticipated market trends, and always recognize the inherent risks associated with cryptocurrency investments.
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