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The advantage of the human brain is diminishing; AI may surpass human intelligence within two years, according to Ben Goertzel.
"The human brain excels at making imaginative leaps to grasp the unknown … We should appreciate this for a few more years."
Ben Goertzel, CEO of SingularityNET (Isaac Lawrence/Consensus modified by CoinDesk)
Key points:
- Ben Goertzel, CEO of SingularityNET, anticipates that artificial intelligence will surpass human capabilities in high-level market analysis and strategy within approximately two years.
- While AI solutions like his Quantium initiative are adept at forecasting bitcoin volatility, humans still outperform in long-term, creative strategic thinking.
- Goertzel observes an increasing interest in the integration of decentralized finance (DeFi) with traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized AI, which he views as evidence of technological advancement.
Two years. This is the timeframe Ben Goertzel, CEO of SingularityNET, a decentralized AI marketplace, believes humans have before artificial intelligence outpaces us in cognitive and strategic capabilities.
Currently, the artificial intelligence sector is primarily concentrating on creating automated agents to enhance market efficiency, yet Goertzel asserted that, for now, humans remain the key players in high-level strategy. He mentioned that although his Quantium project can accurately forecast short-term bitcoin volatility, long-term strategic thought remains a distinctly human skill, at least for the time being.
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"The human brain excels at making imaginative leaps to grasp the unknown," Goertzel stated in an interview at Consensus Hong Kong. However, this situation will not persist indefinitely. "We should appreciate this for a few more years."
Goertzel’s two-year forecast serves not only as an AI expert’s opinion but also as a guideline for the integration of SingularityNET’s decentralized AI within the broader blockchain landscape. As the line between human-led and machine-driven markets becomes less distinct, Goertzel explained that the current bear market represents a mere "stress test" for the infrastructure that will ultimately support artificial general intelligence (AGI).
He mentioned that he has observed a noticeable shift in focus from speculative excitement to practical technological applications. According to him, the attitude among attendees at the conference has evolved. The emphasis has transitioned from the "disheartening" variations in exchange rates to the sophisticated merging of decentralized finance (DeFi) with conventional financial systems.
For Goertzel, this suggests that the technology has advanced to a level where it functions reliably for complex, real-world applications.
Additionally, he pointed out the rapid expansion of decentralized AI initiatives at the event as an indication that the industry is on the verge of a significant convergence, where blockchain offers essential data sovereignty and security for the forthcoming generation of artificial intelligence.
