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Bitcoin’s prospects improve as large holders increase their holdings and Binance’s stablecoin reserves rise.

Recent on-chain data indicates that Bitcoin (BTC) whales have transitioned from a prolonged distribution phase to renewed accumulation, while the stablecoin supply on Binance is increasing; both metrics suggest positive momentum for BTC.
According to CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, whales had been reducing their holdings for more than a month, marking the longest continuous decline in net accumulation over the past year.
However, this trend has reversed, with whales increasing their holdings once more, pushing the monthly percentage change back into positive territory. Historically, such accumulation phases have often preceded bullish market movements.
Darkfost pointed out that if whale accumulation persists, market liquidity could increase, contributing to Bitcoin’s upward price momentum. Large-scale traders typically exert significant influence on price movements.
Their buying activity reflects confidence in market conditions and may trigger broader sentiment shifts among retail investors.
Binance stablecoin reserves
Alongside whale accumulation, Binance has reported an all-time high in stablecoin reserves, exceeding $31.3 billion.
Darkfost noted that Binance, the largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, often acts as a key liquidity hub, making its stablecoin reserves an important indicator of potential market movements.
An increase in stablecoin reserves on Binance suggests two primary factors. First, investors are injecting liquidity into the exchange, potentially in anticipation of market entry. This influx of capital indicates confidence in Binance’s stability and the broader cryptocurrency market conditions.
Second, Binance itself is augmenting its stablecoin reserves in response to rising demand, reflecting heightened transactional activity on the platform.
Periods of increasing stablecoin reserves on Binance have historically coincided with or preceded upward trends in Bitcoin prices. Stablecoins serve as an on-ramp for cryptocurrency investments, providing immediate liquidity for traders to enter positions.
The current accumulation trend and increased liquidity create a market environment that has traditionally been favorable for potential price appreciation.
Confirmation needed
Despite the favorable setup indicated by the on-chain data shared by Darkfost, Short-Term Holder (STH) Realized Price levels have been converging, suggesting that the average entry price of recent Bitcoin buyers is becoming more uniform.
According to Yonsei Dent, another analyst from CryptoQuant, this indicates a stagnation in market supply and demand, which has resulted in a growing lack of clear price direction.
Simultaneously, the 60 and 200 daily moving averages of STH Realized Price are also tightening in a similar pattern to that observed in May 2024. This led to an extended period of low volatility and market consolidation.
Yonsei Dent assessed that if no strong demand catalyst arises, a prolonged period of price consolidation may repeat itself.
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