Bitcoin surge anticipated with forecasts suggesting a rise to $200,000.

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Bitcoin might be set for a significant increase in the last quarter of 2025, with prices potentially reaching as high as $200,000 if the demand trend persists, according to the onchain analytics company CryptoQuant.

The firm noted that spot demand has been increasing sharply since the middle of summer, averaging over 62,000 in net inflows each month.

It also mentioned that this level of buying activity has historically preceded surges in the fourth quarter during previous cycles, including those in 2020, 2021, and 2024.

Indicators of strength

CryptoQuant indicated that whales, a term used for significant Bitcoin holders, are accumulating coins at an annualized rate of 331,000 BTC, an increase from 255,000 during the same timeframe last year.

Additionally, U.S.-listed bitcoin exchange-traded funds, which acquired over 200,000 BTC in the fourth quarter of 2024, may exhibit a similar level of intake this year, the firm noted.

The market has also surpassed the “realized price” for traders, which is approximately $116,000.

With Bitcoin trading close to $117,300 at the time of reporting, the firm suggested that this breach indicates a return to the bullish phase of the cycle, potentially paving the way for a range of $160,000 to $200,000 this quarter.

Increasing optimism

CryptoQuant’s internal “bull score index” concluded September at levels typically observed before significant rallies, bolstered by growing stablecoin liquidity and diminished unrealized profits among traders, which are factors that suggest reduced selling pressure.

Other analysts share a similarly optimistic outlook, with major firms such as Standard Chartered, 21Shares, and Bitwise each indicating that Bitcoin could reach $200,000 before the end of the year.

Looking further into the future, Standard Chartered anticipates that Bitcoin might approach $500,000 by 2028 as wider access and decreased volatility strengthen its position in global markets.

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