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The hash rate of the Bitcoin network has shown significant fluctuations in 2025, reaching above 1,000 EH/s multiple times while frequently experiencing intraday declines to as low as 700 EH/s.
This pattern has directly influenced the various modifications to mining difficulty, which have been adjusted seven times over the last eleven weeks.
At block height 907200, the difficulty is recorded at 127.62T following a +1.07% increase. Data from mempool.space indicates that the next adjustment, anticipated in about nine days, is projected to decrease by 4.97%, highlighting the cyclical relationship between hash rate variations and difficulty adjustments.
The moving average of the hash rate (Hashrate MA), which smooths out daily fluctuations, reveals a gradual upward trend that began in early April. This trend aligns with a significant difficulty increase of 7.96% that took place at block 905184, suggesting heightened mining activity and hardware enhancements. However, this increase was preceded by a notable 7.48% decrease at block 903168, indicating diminished operational capacity and temporarily offline machines.
Before April, the difficulty remained relatively stable while Bitcoin hovered around the 800 EH/s hash rate mark. However, from mid-April onward, both the raw and moving-average hash rates entered a higher range, fluctuating between 850 and 950 EH/s. The corresponding difficulty adjustments responded accordingly, with a series of both positive and negative changes as the network sought to maintain Bitcoin’s targeted 10-minute block interval.
For instance, while the difficulty experienced a slight -0.45% correction at block 901152, it was soon followed by a 4.38% increase at block 899136 and a 2.13% rise at block 897120, each reflecting short-term adjustments to balance throughput.
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Bitcoin hashrate and difficulty (Source: mempool.space)
The orange moving average line on the graph indicates a brief plateau in May, despite some sharp daily hash rate spikes, likely influenced by intermittent hardware availability among large-scale operators. The current 1-week average is at 891.7 EH/s, positioning it near the mid-range of the observed band for 2025.
As Bitcoin’s difficulty adjusts to the rolling 2,016-block average of block times, the frequent hash rate spikes and declines seen in recent months are leading to more pronounced corrective cycles.
The anticipated difficulty reduction of 4.97% would represent a significant downward adjustment, signaling a reversion after a period of sustained computational pressure. If this occurs, the forthcoming -4.97% decrease would be one of the steepest difficulty reductions of 2025, surpassed only by the -7.48% adjustment at block 903168 five weeks prior.
While the hash rate fluctuates with increasing intensity, the current technical trend keeps Bitcoin’s operational pace within protocol standards.
The post Bitcoin difficulty predicted to fall 5% as hashrate dips appeared first on CryptoSlate.
